We are at Hrach’s discussing the future of technology, specifically HD content on disc (i.e. Blu-Ray and HD-DVD). John is arguing that people will not buy Blu-Ray players (we’re assuming that Blu-Ray wins over HD-DVD, as seems likely)
for at least three years (i.e. February 2009); that is to say, in mass quantities.
At that point, Blu-Ray will be the preferred format for places like video rental stores.
This will be around when Spider-Man 5 comes out. John says Blu-Ray will be dominant in new PC’s one year after Blu-Ray is released.
So assuming Blu-Ray comes out in April 2006 like we think it is, that would be April 2007. Iain, Vartan and Jeff think that Rogers and Blockbuster switchover to Blu-Ray will be Christmas 2008. Iain further said that it will be only one year for computers (i.e. Feb 2007). *I* think that the switch-over will happen around Christmas 2007. Feel free to leave comments with your own predictions about when the DVD will die and Blu-Ray will be ascendant.