Computer Predicitions for Sep 1 2015
We are having an interesting discussion at gaming tonight about the trajectory of the computer market. Iain and I are arguing that Windows PC’s are being squeezed out by tablets running iOS or Android. Tom and John argue that Windows dominates the workplace. John goes so far as to say he knows of *no* company that uses tablets. Thus this post, where we will predict the market share of Windows PC’s in 3 years [Aug 2015]. I will go first and say that Windows will have 1/2 the market share it has now. Further, in the workplace it will have 2/3rds of its current market share. I will further predict that Windows will be relegated to 3rd place in market share in 4 years [Aug 2016]. John agrees with my 1/2 market share overall, but says 3/4 in the workplace. John thinks it will take 20 years [Aug 2032] before Windows is in 3rd place of market share. Iain says non-Windows computers (which includes tablets but excludes phones) will be 40% of the market in 3 years [Aug 2015]. Tom says in three years there will be 3/4 the number of desktop PC’s (i.e. not tablets). This includes laptops as a “desktop PC”. He also says the absolute number of PC’s running Windows will only drop a little bit, say by 15%. The share of tablets sold in that year will be 50% and desktops+laptops at 50%. Jeff includes smartphones and predicts tablets + smartphones will be [... Bueller?] Vartan says the market share of PCs (vs tablets+smartphones) will be more than 1% in 3 years [Aug 2015]. The absolute number of PC users will be about the same. Note: we all agree to allow MS Surface (remember those?) to be included as Windows PC’s, even the ARM ones.Places to look for my posts
Posted by in General
at 10:53 am on Tuesday, 5 July 2011
This blog isn’t posted to very often. Better places to find me are Facebook, Twitter and now Google Plus:at 10:53 am on Tuesday, 5 July 2011
http://profiles.google.com/reidellis
https://www.facebook.com/reid.ellis
https://twitter.com/clith
Apple is not a computer company, and hasn’t been for some time
Posted by rae in General
at 9:18 am on Thursday, 22 April 2010
at 9:18 am on Thursday, 22 April 2010
This is from Chart of the day<http://www.businessinsider.com/chart-of-the-day-in-case-you-had-any-doubts-about-where-apples-revenue-comes-from-2010-4>: 
Between the iPhone and iPod, the Mac doesn’t have a chance! Assuming most of the iPod $$ are from those expensive (and high-margin) iPod Touch’s – all three profit sources run Mac OS X, just with different window managers. 
So you could make the case that they’re all Macs of one form or another. Reid
Between the iPhone and iPod, the Mac doesn’t have a chance! Assuming most of the iPod $$ are from those expensive (and high-margin) iPod Touch’s – all three profit sources run Mac OS X, just with different window managers. So you could make the case that they’re all Macs of one form or another. Reid Windows Diff Tool – WinMerge
Posted by in General
at 10:56 am on Tuesday, 6 April 2010
When programming, it’s very useful to be able to find the differences between two text files.
On a Mac, I would use the built-in awesome diff utility, FileMerge.
It even has a nice command-line interface via the “opendiff” command.
But currently I’m stuck on Windows
(curse you, gaming industry, for preferring the Windows platform for game development!)
and need to find a diff tool there.
There are several, and I was going to go through them writing mini-reviews for each, but a clear winner emerged so quickly I won’t bother.
WinMerge quickly became the obvious choice.
It is GPL licensed, and hosted on SourceForge.
I did briefly look at FreeDiff, but it suffered from
at 10:56 am on Tuesday, 6 April 2010
- clearly being a “gateway” app to other commercial apps (ad dialog on quit)
- being written in Visual Basic
- requiring 8 clicks to cancel an install!
- trying to overwrite C:\Windows\system32\scrrun.dll!!
- looking like a Windows 95 app
- Separating line numbers from content with a period
- Not supporting mouse wheel e3vents
- Not knowing which DLLs it could remove when uninstalled (I probably have a few ancient DLLs hanging around now)
A Couple of Good New Shows
Posted by in entertainment
at 2:06 am on Sunday, 6 December 2009
Two new shows are on BBC that are pretty good.
at 2:06 am on Sunday, 6 December 2009
Testing a Post via Google Wave
Posted by rae in General
at 8:47 pm on Thursday, 1 October 2009
Testing a Post via Google Waveat 8:47 pm on Thursday, 1 October 2009
I’ve created a wave with the Posterous bot, and apparently this wave will be posted on posterous.com. I assume updates will also automatically be propogated? We shall see.I will embed a picture to see if that works. You should see a humourous “communist party” image above.
Posted via web from clith’s posterous
Whither Firewire S1600 & S3200?
Posted by rae in General
at 10:18 am on Tuesday, 8 September 2009
at 10:18 am on Tuesday, 8 September 2009
The spec was finalized in early 2008, and parts have been available since October 2008, yet I cannot google any sign of *any* Firewire S1600 or S3200 devices!
These things would transfer data at 1600 and 3200 Mbps, which (egad) is a bit slower than USB 3’s 4000 Mbps.
Maybe that’s why?
Hrm.
Posted via email from clith’s posterous
Why did nobody tell me of this? “Batman: the Dark Knight Strikes Again”
Posted by rae in General
at 8:03 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
at 8:03 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
I had no idea that Frank Miller revisited the “Dark Knight” mythos. But today I discovered, seven years after the fact, “Batman: the Dark Knight Strikes Again“, by Frank Miller and his wife, Lynn Varley.
Apparently reviewers were upset that it wasn’t exactly the same as the dark, gritty original “Batman: the Dark Knight Returns”. I think I’ll read it and see how it is for myself..
After Luisa and I dropped Michael off at rez at UofT, we took a leisurely drive along the Danforth. We had lunch at Astoria, and then went to the Carrot Commons. Or, rather, Luisa did, but everything seemed closed for Labour Day.
I noticed what *I* thought was a “new” Mac store across the street and took a snap with my iPhone — RiverdaleMac
I posted it to Facebook, where I was informed it is, in fact, a very old store, that used to be called “The CD Shop” (gee, wonder why they changed their name? 
).
).I trundled over to the book store just east of the ‘Carrot whose name escapes me.
And they had a graphic novels section.
And there I saw the tome above.
And bought it.
Luisa found me a copy of the latest Cinefex, which I’ll probably also read on the GO train.
All in all, a nice day. Great weather, too.
Posted via email from clith’s posterous
My Favorite iPhone apps, Sep 2009
Posted by rae in General
at 3:49 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
at 3:49 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
My Favorite iPhone Apps, Sep 2009
The iPhone Facebook app (free) is pretty good. The recent update has seen its UI overhauled, very much for the better.There are still things you cannot do with the iPhone app, but for most things it’s just fine.
“Now Playing” (free) is the best app for movies. With it you can find what’s playing near you, at what time, and what score it has on Rotten Tomatoes. It has the phone numbers for theatres, and a Google Maps link to show you where they are.One feature I appreciate is that it shows you DVDs as well. You can restrict this to show you only Blu-rays, so I find it handy to find out what’s coming out on Blu-ray this week.
“Stanza” (free) — recently acquired by Amazon — is the best text/book-reading app. It comes with built-in links for downloading classics like “Pride & Prejudice”, “War of the Worlds”, and others to your Stanza library.You can adjust font size, and the page turning is nicely done. It also works in portrait mode.
“WeatherEye” *(free) is my favorite weather app. It doesn’t have the fancy graphs and graphics ofr “MyWeather”, but I find it’s short- and long-term forecasts very useful.
”TouchTerm” (free) and “VNC” (free and $$ versions) kind of go together, because they’re somewhat geeky. I dunno. But they are very good.VNC struggles a bit when I view my dual-24″ monitor desktop. It tells me it is getting short on memory. I persevere though, and I haven’t head it crash on me.
TouchTerm is nice to have so you can ssh in to anywhere you like … except your iPhone. *sigh.
“eBuddy” (free) seems to hold the crown currently for multi-protocol IM app. It supports “push” notifications, but only stays connected for a maximum of 30 minutes. The AIM iPhone app, by contrast, stays online for 24 hours without your having to run the app once during that time.Now iPhones can save websites as “app-like” icons on your screen, and I have a few favorite sites that I do this for.
”Google Latitude” is a way to share your up-to-the-minute (but not second!) location with friends. This is very handy when you’re supposed to meet up with people somewhere. When I’m driving I just start it up and leave it running.Beware, however: the frequent access to the GPS necessitated by Latitude can drain the battery somewhat. It’s best using it when it’s plugged in (in your car, for example).
I use http://ping.fm/m to update all my various micro-blogs like Facebook, Twitter, Linked In, etc. It’s a one-stop spew shop. You can also set it up to do real blog posts etc, but this mobile-based web page isn’t suitable for that. How much can you type into a single, one-line text input box?
I’m curious to see how this is formatted on http://clith.posterous.com since I’ve used float alignments to float the inline pictures to the left or right of the paragraphs..
Posted via email from clith’s posterous
New Mac store on the Danforth
Posted by rae in General
at 2:01 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
at 2:01 pm on Monday, 7 September 2009
Saw this store this afternoon, right across the street from the Carrot Commons.
Reid